2010’s Tech Predictions That Really Matter

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So 2010 has already set in, almost in every place across the world, and the predictions are flowing out likehot coffee on a chilly night. Though, we have given our judgment that 2010 will be the year of Internet tablets, there are several other folks out there who have making some really nice tech predictions for 2010, most of which, we hope come true.

Tech Predictions for 2010

Here is a look at the top 2010 tech predictions for the year from some of the most reputed and authoritative sites in the Tech World.

Google OS Predictions for Google in 2010

If there is one blog you have to choose to read the latest scoops on Google, it has to be the Google Operating system. No, it is not related to Google Chrome OS, however it is related to everything Google.

Alex Chitu, the brain behind Google OS, has come up with 20 predictions on things that might happen @Google in 2010, you can also read Alex’s take on what will be the Top 10 Google Apps in 2010.

2010 Predictions @RWW

One of my favorite blogs, Read Write Web (RWW), has put up an excellent set of 2010 predictions, coming from MacManus, Marshall, Sarah Perez, and the other writers at RWW. Take a look at the 2010 predictions from RWW.

5 Predictions for Facebook from @Mashable

One of the most popular social blog, Mashable, has put up a list of the top 5 prediction for Facebook. At the rate at which Facebook has been growing, it would not be surprising that all of them come true. Take a look at the Top 5 predictions for Facebook @Mashable.

Technology Predictions for 2010 @Telegraph

Telegraph.co.uk has to be one of the most famous newspapers which also rule in the online world, especially in the tech sector. So, predictions from them have to be taken seriously. Take a look at the Technology Predictions for 2010 @Telegraph.

New York Times 2010 Predictions about Tech Companies

NYT takes a look at 5 companies, including Twitter, Facebook and Apple and gives their predictions on how they will shape up in 2010. Take a look at New York Times Five 2010 Predictions about Tech Companies.

Three Mobile Predictions for 2010 @jkOnTheRun

James Kendrick aka jkOnTheRun, runs one of the most authoritative blog for mobile news, so it is highly unlikely that we can ignore his predictions for mobiles in 2010. Take a look at Three Mobile Predictions for 2010 @jkOnTheRun.

PC World’s Tech Predictions for 2010

PC World? Does it ring anything in your mind? Of course it does, it is probably one of the biggest site for all your Tech News. Catch up on the Top 10 Predictions in 2010 @PCWorld.

Open Source and Linux/Ubuntu Predictions for 2010

Open Source will definitely make a mark this year, what with Linux shaping the decade with some excellent contributions. Without doubts, Linux will play a big role in how the technology shapes in 2010 and the rest of the new decade. Here are some excellent predictions for Linux and Open Source in general for the year 2010.

More 2010 Tech Predictions

Well I did not run out of steam already, will keep this list updated as and when I come across some more techpredictions for 2010. This is Non-exhaustive list, so bookmark it for future updates.

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A telecom revolution this decade

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From the time when just a handful owned mobiles, the decade gone by has brought a cellphone to every second Indian. It’s also been a decade driven
by affordability. Call rates have tumbled from Rs 4.50 in 1999 to 30 paise per minute. Handsets can be bought for just Rs 700

Everywhere you go, the ring follows

1999: National Telecom Policy ‘99 (NTP 99) ushers in the revenue-sharing regime from a fixed licence fee. Makes a stronger business case for operators; tariffs drop

2000: Department of Telecom’s services arm is hived off and BSNL is born

2001: Fourth cellular operator allowed in each circle, competition hots up. Till then, there were two private operators per circle. PSUs MTNL and BSNL held the third slot

2003: January - Reliance Infocomm is first to roll out CDMA services; introduces game-changing tariffs at 40 paise per minute. It triggers technology war between CDMA and GSM platforms

May: Calling Party Pays regime ushered in. Incoming calls turn free; mobile usage goes up

November: Unified Access Service Licence allows operators to offer any type of service using any technology including cellular, fixedline, NLD and ILD, internet, radio paging. Customer gains from lower prices and more value-added services

2005 - Motorola rolls out first Made in India mobile at Rs 1,700

Tata Teleservices launches ‘Non Stop Life’ scheme with two-year validity

Others counter it with Lifetime Validity plans, allowing incoming calls free for life without recharging

2006: India becomes the fifth country to have 100 million mobile subscribers

2007: Indian telecom comes of age with India’s biggest cross-border M&A. Vodafone buys 67% in Hutchison Essar for $11.08 billion, valuing the company at $18 billion

Government allots licences to new players; Tata Teleservices and Reliance Communications get okay for offering GSM-based services as well

2009: India gets a taste of 3G as PSUs, BSNL and MTNL launch services like video calling and movie downloads on mobile

Per-second billing comes in. Rates crash and so do bills. Operators’ revenues dwindle

India joins 500 million mobile users club

ET Comment

More in store

Those who think the big telecom game is over with rock bottom tariffs, couldn’t be more wrong. The mobile will soon transcend voice calls and be used for video conferencing, movie downloads, fast speed internet surfing and much more, once 3G is here next year. Waiting in the wings are 3G’s successors, fourth generation technologies like Long-Term Evolution that will offer even higher data transfer rates, allowing video on demand.

But all this will require funds and regional and new operators may not be able to withstand the onslaught by established players. Mobile number portability, which will let users change an operator while retaining the number, augurs well for the consumer, but not for operators. Amid fierce competition, consolidation is inevitable. Only the timing and rules have to be decided.

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Japan passes trillion-dollar budget amid debt worries

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Japan on Friday approved a record trillion-dollar budget, seeking to aid an economic recovery but also fuelling concerns about its swelling national debts.
The cabinet outlined spending measures of 92.3 trillion yen ($1 trillion, Rs 46.8 lakh crore) for the next financial year beginning April 2010, focussing on improving social welfare and cutting public works spending.
The budget aims “to protect livelihoods with a philosophy shifting from concrete to people,” Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama said.
His government has predicted that Asia’s biggest economy would grow 1.4 per cent next year — the first expansion in three years.
Japan has huge debts as a legacy of massive stimulus spending during the economic “lost decade” of the 1990s.

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LG unveils ‘world’s thinnest LCD TV’

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SEOUL: South Korea’s LG Display said that it has developed the world’s thinnest LCD television panel, measuring 2.6 millimetres (0.1 inches).

The company, the world’s second largest maker of liquid crystal displays (LCDs), said the panel uses an ultra-slim, edge-lit light emitting diode backlight system and proprietary optical film technology.

It said in a statement the 42-inch panel weighs less than 4 kilograms (8.8 pounds), making it ideal for wall-mounted TVs.

LG Display said it would showcase the product at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas early next year.

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VODAFONE CALLING BUYERS FOR ITS STAKE IN BHARTI AIRTEL

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Vodafone Group has hung the ‘For Sale’ sign on its 4.39 percent indirect holding in Bharti Airtel, a move that could fetch it up to $2 billion and have a serious bearing on the ownership of India’s largest telecom company.

The British firm, the world’s largest mobile operator by revenues, bought a 10 percent stake in Bharti — its biggest rival in India — in 2005, but sold nearly half of that after it entered the Indian market on its own in 2007.

“No company will be happy with a small minority stake in another entity. If anybody is interested in buying our stake, we are for it,” Vodafone’s chief executive Vittorio Colao said.

Vodafone’s stake in Bharti could be worth around Rs 5,500 crore at current valuations, but if last month’s deal — that saw SingTel buy the 1.52 percent for Rs 3,008 crore — is any yardstick, the stake could fetch Vodafone as much as Rs 8,700 crore.

Colao declined to say on if Vodafone had held talks with prospective buyers and also refused to comment on the speculation that SingTel was interested in buying Vodafone’s stake in Bharti.

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Team of the future with youth on side

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PETER ROEBUCK
December 12, 2009

Bagging selectors is a pleasant pastime. And it goes with the territory. Naming replacement players is not as easy. Debate can rage about openers, spinners and balance but the side chosen by Andrew Hilditch and company is nor far off the mark. By all means drop this spinner or that middle-order batsman but don’t expect miracles. Sooner or later every man’s time comes. Players past their peaks need to be moved along or else the system stagnates. Youngsters need to be challenged or they will coast. Mediocrity is more damaging than incompetence because it lasts longer. But the notion that the team will be significantly stronger with a different tweaker or opener is fanciful. Mike Hussey is a canny cricketer. At present the issue is not so much performance as capacity.

Whatever team is chosen is going to have to work harder for its wickets and wins. The supply of outstanding cricketers, particularly bowlers, has run out. Visiting teams no longer live in dread. Australia might overcome but are not going to intimidate. Abraham Lincoln could pick the team and it’d struggle to crush capable opponents. Of course this does not mean hard decisions ought to be delayed. Sentiment lights the path of doom. Just that there are no magic wands. Australia is good, but not great

Rather than panning the panel, it’s more constructive to name a shadow side and follow the fortunes of its members. The emphasis will be in youth. Plainly the selectors have decided to forget about players over 30. Australia had rarely benefited from replacing a 35-year-old with a player three years his junior. Brad Hodge (34), Ashley Noffke (32), Stuart Clark (34), David Hussey (32), Chris Rogers (32) and even Phil Jaques (30) are fine cricketers but arguably their best days are behind them. Certainly there is not much point including them in our back-up outfit.

Phil Hughes and Shaun Marsh will open the innings. Hughes has experienced most of the ups and downs of the game in 12 months. Ability took him into the Test team, allowed him to score hundreds and then left him in the lurch. A process of discovery that usually takes several years has been squeezed into a few months. Eventually even the most gifted player are obliged to examine their game. Hughes’s problem is that he did not exactly fail and lacks the experience to edit himself. His technique depended on audacity around off-stump. Now he’s been told that his strength was a weakness in disguise. It’s a lot for a youngster to absorb. But he has runs on the board and plays.

Marsh has had his ups and downs. Injuries have slowed him down and lucrative IPL contracts seem to have affected his focus. However, he has shown temperament and talent in Australian colours and deserves his chance.

Callum Ferguson bats at first wicket down. A knee injury has stalled his progress. Otherwise he might already be playing Test cricket. But he is quick on his pegs and has creative hands. George Bailey bats at second drop. His cricket looks as homely as his moniker but he is an accomplished player with a sturdy temperament. Captaining Tasmania has helped and he is starting to score the runs needed to catch the eye.

Cameron White is another late developer. His career has taken several twists and turns. Improbably, he has played Test cricket as a specialist spinner and has also appeared as a powerful one-day batsman. Actually he is a forthright middle-order batsmen gradually mastering the intricacies of his craft. He is our captain.

Steve Smith is the all-rounder and second spinner. A lively batsman and handy leg-spinner, he could play Test cricket in 2010. Although he looks like a young chorister, he has a bit of the larrikin in him and has no timidity in him.

Tim Paine guards the stumps, a colt able to hold his own with the thoroughbreds when the call came. It’s worth keeping an eye on Peter Nevill, a young Victorian who has moved to Sydney in search of opportunity.

Jason Krejza is the spinner. Admittedly he has not taken many wickets this summer but he has a track record and has bowled better than his figures suggest.

Now comes the hardest part. Injuries to established players means that several reserves have already been called into combat. Clint McKay can be pencilled in but the rest are novices. Peter George has been tasking wickets for South Australia while Mitchell Starc and Scott Walter’s left-armers have impressed astute judges.

It’s a bit early to summon Josh Hazlewood and various other greenhorns. By weight of performance and adaptability, Andrew McDonald beats Moises Henriques for the 12th man position

Hughes, Marsh, Ferguson, Bailey, White, Smith, Paine, Krejza, McKay, George, Starc, McDonald. Not a bad side, and some emerging openers and speedsters omitted.

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AVERAGE URBAN TELEDENSITY CROSSES 100 PERCENT MARK

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Close on the heels of celebrating 500 million mobile customer mark, the country’s cellular phone market has now crossed another major landmark: The average urban teledensity in India has now crossed the 100 percent mark as per latest figures released by the Department of Telecom (DoT).

This implies the country’s towns, cities and metros, all of which are classified as ‘urban’ by the government, now have as many mobile connections as that of their population.

In March 2008, the country’s urban teledensity was about 60 percent, which jumped to over 85 percent in March 2009 and it has now crossed the 100 percent mark.

The intense price war in the telecom space over the past couple of months, which has plunged tariffs to an all time low — of even half paise per second — has resulted in a record growth of 15 million plus customers signing up for mobile connections every month.

Urban India accounts for close to 70 percent of India’s 500 million cellular users and over 75 percent of the telecom operators’ revenues.

The larger implication is that the country’s beleaguered mobile operators, whose revenues and profits had dipped over the last two quarters due to the savage tariff war, will now have to increase their spending as they seek to sustain the current growth rates from rural India.

In fact, even as urban India enjoys telecom penetration along the lines of developed nations, the teledensity in rural areas is only at 18 percent, DoT data adds.

Telecoms minister A Raja in a written reply to Parliament (Lok Sabha) earlier this week, had said that Himachal Pradesh enjoyed the highest urban teledensity at 219 percent, followed by Kerala at 156 percent, Delhi (154 percent), Chennai (143 percent), Mumabi (125 percent), Andhra Pradesh (121 percent), Karnataka (116 percent), while Rajasthan and Punjab have a little over 104 percent each.

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NOKIA TO LAUNCH NEW MUSIC PHONE MODEL

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The world’s largest mobile phone maker Nokia is preparing to launch a new music-bundled phone, photos from the firm’s website showed on Friday.

The 5235 “Comes with Music” model has a touch screen and a two mega pixel camera, photos on the site showed.

Nokia was not immediately available for comment.

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VODAFONE LOOKS TO LIST INDIAN ARM

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Vodafone Group Plc Chief Executive Vittorio Colao today said the company could list its Indian arm and was open to acquisitions when opportunities are available in the country.

The head of the world’s largest mobile company in terms of revenues suggested changes in the regulatory regime for mergers and acquisitions.

When asked whether Vodafone would list its Indian entity, Colao, who is in Delhi to attend the marriage of Indian partner Analjit Singh’s son, said: “It is a possibility…There are different ways of getting exposed to local ownership. One is by having a local partner, another by listing.”

When asked if there was any acquisition plan in India in the future, Colao said, “We are open to acquisition as India is an important market.”

The UK company, which runs the country’s second largest mobile company by revenues has a joint venture with the Essar group — Vodafone-Essar.

Two years ago Vodafone and its associates bought over the 67 percent equity stake of Hutchison in the company.

Asked about tariff wars and new players making competition tougher, Colao said, “Except Bharti Airtel, no operator in the country has positive cash flow. We made £300 million (Rs 2,283 crore) as margin in India. Our investment was £500 million (Rs 3805 crore) in the first six months of this year, so we have negative cash flow of £200 million (Rs 1,522 crore). This cannot go on.”

He further said, “For the whole year we would invest £1 billion (Rs 7,610 crore) and may have EBIDTA of £600 million, but still remain in the negative. That is why customer service is not of high quality, which has to be addressed by policy makers. Also, globally, telecom is seeing consolidation.”

He added that if certain policy decisions were not taken, India’s penetration of broadband wireless, too, would remain at one percent.

The company has invested £3 billion (Rs 2,2831 crore) since Vodafone took over, which includes £1 billion (Rs 7,610 crore) this financial year. Colao said there were too many players and merger and acquisition rules should allow easier aggregation, which could be in different ways like aggregation of networks, companies and operations.

India has over 7-8 players in each circle (which will increase to about 10-12), higher than global norm of not more than three players.

Colao said the company was open to exploring other areas of the telecommunications pie (beyond mobile) like IPTV, when the time was ripe for investments.

He added that the aim was to the reduce the gap between Vodafone and Bharti Airtel in terms of overall mobile revenue share. Vodafone-Essar has a revenue share of 22 percent, while Bharti is at 34 percent.

When asked how long it would take to bridge the gap, Colao said, “It can take 25 years, and generally my prediction is right as it takes a long time to bridge such a gap.”

Asked about the $2 billion show cause (Rs 9,000 crore) notice issued by the Income-tax department to Vodafone-Essar, Colao said, “We will reply to the notice by the end of January. The main point is we are the buyer and capital gains tax is paid by the seller. Also, in no other such foreign transactions has a company been asked to pay the tax. There is no liability on us.”

The Income-tax department had issued a notice saying why it did not deduct $2 billion while paying Hutchison the value for buying them out, which was $11.2 billion.

The Indian operation in the first six months of this financial year contributed £1485 million (Rs 11,312 crore) revenue with EBIDTA of £357 million (Rs 2,719 crore).

Last year in the same period it had revenues of £1178 million (Rs 8,972 crore) with EBIDTA of £335 million (Rs 2,552 crore).

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20 smart money tips

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Builders and brokers

1. You get a smaller space than you thought: The area mentioned in advertisements and for calculation purposes is the super built-up area, while the area that you really get is the carpet area, which would be less by up to 30% or more depending on the building’s design.

2. All-inclusive price is not always ‘all’ inclusive: In most cases, the price advertised will be the cost of the house. But there are other charges that you would need to pay—charges for car park, club membership, power and water connections, among others. These will add up to a substantial bit. Don’t be surprised if what you finally end up paying is more than the advertised price.

3. There is compensation for project delays: Usually, this is not mentioned upfront, but builders do mention it in the sale agreement. In most cases, the amount of compensation is very small (around Rs5 per sq. ft a month). However, the deadline and the mode of handing over the compensation are not mentioned.

4. The brokerage fee you pay is negotiable: In north India, the broker fee is typically one month’s rent for arranging rented accommodation and 1% of the sale price for apartments. During the boom period, this fee was non-negotiable in most cases. But with the real estate sector doing badly, especially since January 2008, brokers have been ready to take a cut in fees.
Credit card companies
5. Global credit card companies have hidden charges: When you use your card to pay in foreign currency, you need to factor in more than just the exchange rate. For instance, you pay 3.5% of the total amount as cross currency markup, a service tax of 10.35% on the chargeable amount and a further 3% education cess on the service tax. More than you thought, isn’t it?

6. There is an upper limit on cashback cards: It’s not as if the more you buy, the more money you get back. You only get a maximum of Rs500 a month. Some cards may even require you to have a minimum statement amount to avail the facility. The amount may also be subject to a maximum of Rs250 per eligible transaction (this excludes loans and cash advance).

7. The ‘due date’ is not the last date of payment: If you think that the “due date” is the latest you can pay, you are mistaken. Actually, the payment needs to be credited to your card account by that date. Otherwise it is treated as a default. Cheque payments need to be made at least four working days in advance to avoid a default.
8. Cash withdrawals attract a daily interest: You can use your credit card to withdraw cash from the bank or the ATM up to the card’s cash limits. There will be a one-time fee, which will be a percentage of the amount withdrawn, or it could be a minimum amount. On top of this, a daily interest is charged on the amount withdrawn, which starts accruing from that very day till the amount is paid back. Moreover, with many cards there is no interest-free period, unlike purchases made using the cards.

Online retailers

9. Free shipping isn’t always free: Shipping costs can trip you in online purchases. Hidden somewhere could be a condition that shipping is free only if the purchases are above a certain amount. This could also mean that the free shipping advertised “on all items” is actually for items purchased after your billed amount has crossed the minimum limit.

10.We’ll refund the price but you pay for the shipping: Clarify turf matters. Total refund might be a valid option, but do check if it is your responsibility or the company’s to ship back the defective product.

11.Fake buyers will push up auction prices: Who says rigging and manipulation can’t happen in cyberspace? It’s not difficult to fall for the number of online bids going for a product. Sellers often create fake buyer IDs to participate in the bidding process. The prices are made to go up and you are persuaded into bidding higher amounts.

Insurance agent

12. A Ulip, or unit-linked insurance plan, gives us a bigger commission than a term plan: Term plans are the cheapest life insurance product. They come at the lowest costs while providing the highest coverage. A lower premium means less agent commission. Term plans, especially pure plans, are more difficult to sell too. This is because they don’t return premiums or provide any returns at the end of the tenure, which makes it difficult for many to fathom them since most investors are used to getting money back in insurance-cum-investment products. So agents prefer to sell the high-premium Ulips.

13. Ulips can be costly if you pull out early: If you exit a Ulip any time before 10 years, the cost goes against you. Due to upfront charges, which are typically high in the initial years, a lesser part of the premium gets invested. If you have been investing in a growth option—that is, it has high equity exposure—an early exit, especially at a time when markets are down, only compounds your misery. You may be asked to buy a new Ulip after three or five years at a lower net asset value, or NAV, or a new Ulip with some additional features. Stay away. Run the existing Ulip using the top-up feature to maximize value over the long term.

14. Capital and return guarantees come at a cost: Ulips that guarantee the principal or returns have to make provisions to deliver the promise. For this, there’s an additional cost the customer has to bear. Also, with most guarantee plans, the insurer can invest up to 100% in equity markets. There is no choice of fund options for you since you can invest only in equities.

15.Entry cost is zero, but there are other monthly charges: Many Ulips do not have any front-end cost and each year’s entire premium is said to be invested. But all such plans have provisions to deduct charges from your fund rather than the premiums. Even though this may be a small percentage of the fund value, over time the effect is largely the same, as the fund value keeps increasing.

Supermarkets

16.The discounts are on jacked-up prices: If you are a sucker for sales, this is bad news for you. This is a common trend with unbranded products, especially clothes. Don’t fall for it, especially if you don’t know what the actual pre-discount price was. The more the discount percentage, the more suspicious you should be.

17.You can buy a product for less than the MRP: MRP is the maximum price a retailer is allowed to charge. But no rule stops him from charging less. So, don’t hesitate to ask for a discount on MRP. You might just get a lower price. This works particularly well for big-ticket purchases such as television sets and furniture, especially if you are paying in cash.

Tour operators

18. Our quoted price is before taxes: Taxes on airfare could be as high as 30-50% of the base fare and for international flights, that could burn a hole in your pocket. Clarify the inclusions and exclusions, especially for “supersaver” offers.

19. The part of the tour price in dollars remains flexible: The tour operator wants to pass on to you any unfavourable change in exchange rates. So if the rupee falls against the dollar, you pay more. But the opposite may not be true.

20.‘Optional’ tours are cheaper if you arrange them: Optional trips come at exorbitant prices. Combo tour packages to these destinations, if booked locally, could cost a lot less. Therefore, it might make sense to do them on your own because it may cost less even after factoring in food and travel expenses.

Track gold prices

The improving risk appetite in the global market has not affected demand for gold. In international markets, after crossing the psychological $1,000 per ounce (Rs47,500 per 28.6g) in the beginning of October, gold continues to move up. It touched an all-time high of $1,062 per ounce, a gain of around 28% from a year back. In India, too, it has gained around 20%. The primary reasons fanning the rally are said to be a weakening dollar, inflationary concerns and investor need for diversification. Says Tejas Seth, a senior research analyst at SMC Global Securities, “Gold prices at $1,100 per ounce is our first target and then $1,200 per ounce, most likely in 2010.”

Invest in corporate debt instruments

Senior citizens and pensioners need not worry about the recent fall in interest rates on bank term deposits. Instead, you can invest in corporate debt instruments that carry coupon rates that are 3-4% above bank rates. Many companies are expected to bring in debt issues, largely non-convertible debentures (NCDs), to raise around Rs20,000 crore from the markets within the next six months. Suresh Sadagopan, certified financial planner, Ladder 7 Financial Advisory, Mumbai, says: “As NCDs offer 3% higher interest than FDs, they are a good option. However, one must look for a good company with a good track record.”

Did you know that kidnap and ransom policies offer financial protection to individuals from kidnapping, extortion, wrongful detention and hijacking? The standard cover includes death or dismemberment benefits, ransom/extortion payment, loss of payment in transit, settlements and defence costs, recall costs, business interruptions and 24-hour emergency response helpline and related expenses. Any individual who believes he needs the cover can go for it.

Tax refund

If your employer has already deducted tax and deposited it, he cannot refund the amount to you. The employer will give you a certificate of tax deduction at source. If the overall amount of tax paid on your behalf works out to be more than the tax due after accounting for your income under all heads, you will be eligible for a refund. While filing your return of income, you must mention your bank account details so that the income-tax department can send it directly to your bank through the electronic clearing system.

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